If combined with an actuarial estimation of the likelihood of various threats, this methodology can be used to create an exceedance

probability curve for loss estimation and rate-setting.

Now available in an excellent hardbound, large print edition perfect for public libraries or nearsighted individuals, Snuff is Terry Pratchett's latest novel set in the chaotic Discworld, a fantastic land "at the far end of the

probability curve.

With available information or more funding to invest in estimating hazard probabilities, an exceedance

probability curve can be obtained to estimate the probability of occurrence of different intensities of the hazard at a given location.

The method usually employed in drainage projects to obtain a rainfall time distribution uses the 50%

probability curve (P50), using the values for type I and type IV rainfall events, as represented in Figure 5.

Table 3 shows initial data array used for plotting

probability curve for a certain profit level.

To illustrate the usefulness of the modal shift modelling exercise in urban road transport management, the developed aggregate modal shift model (involving all trips for different purposes) considering travel-time difference as the influencing variable was used to develop a modal shift

probability curve (Fig.

A unique failure frequency

probability curve can be created for each asset class.

What you need to tell them for an estimate like this, and for all your estimates, is that there's a zero percent probability that you will actually get it done in that time, that such a guess is only the beginning of the

probability curve.

If the number of excavated anomalies is increased to 200--with 160 anomalies within tolerance--then the best estimate of the accuracy remains at [+ or -] 10% NWT 80%, but the confidence of that estimate is much higher, as indicated by the narrowing of the dark blue

probability curve in Figure 7.

It can be seen that the 15 percent iso-shortfall

probability curve is close to the curve representing fair contracts.

For example, the authors explain how to construct an "exceedance

probability curve," which "specifies the probabilities that a certain level of losses will be exceeded.

If you selected three lists as winners from an eight-list test, the odds are great that those lists "happened to" come in at the top end of the

probability curve the first time and will do less well on the remail.