posterior probability

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Related to Posterior probabilities: Prior probabilities

pos·te·ri·or prob·a·bil·i·ty

the best rational assessment of the probability of an outcome on the basis of established knowledge modified and brought up to date.
See also: prior probability, Bayes theorem.

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Besides identifying the best match, posterior probabilities rank all possible matches.

A Novel Method for Osteometric Reassociation Using Hamiltonian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) Simulation

Numbers above the branches are the respective posterior probabilities; branches without numbers had posterior probabilities less than 0.90.

MOLECULAR PHYLOGENETICS OF WESTERN DEER MICE (PEROMYSCUS): TAXONOMIC AND BIOGEOGRAPHIC IMPLICATIONS

The posterior probabilities for state were denoted (TIFF).

Tracking the Origin and Deciphering the Phylogenetic Relationship of Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus in Ecuador

In the following, the posterior probabilities of each mode given consecutive observations are calculated with the training data only.

A Bayesian Approach to Control Loop Performance Diagnosis Incorporating Background Knowledge of Response Information

In the next section, the posterior probabilities will be computed.

Un analisis del riesgo operacional en la banca internacional: un enfoque bayesiano (2007-2011)

Accurate inference algorithms such as HMM filter can be used to compute the posterior probabilities of destinations, but they usually cost much time and need perfect dataset.

A Semi-Markov Decision Model for Recognizing the Destination of a Maneuvering Agent in Real Time Strategy Games

In technical terms, these are the posterior probabilities of recession, Pr[[s.sub.t] = 1|[[OMEGA].sub.T]], for each country conditional on [[OMEGA].sub.T], the information at time t.

Does the United States lead foreign business cycles?

[although American courts are divided as to the admissibility of posterior probabilities derived through Bayes' rule with undisclosed prior probabilities--particularly in criminal cases--no appellate court in this country has held that it is error to permit testimony about the impact of the trace evidence on the prior probability.

The rule of probabilities: a practical approach for applying Bayes' rule to the analysis of DNA evidence

An often underappreciated limitation of Bayesian analysis is that the mathematical functions representing the posterior probabilities do not represent the multifactorial contingencies of actual scientific beliefs.

Beware of inferential errors and low power with Bayesian analyses: power analysis is needed for confirmatory research/Attention aux erreurs inferentielles etaux faibles puissances dans les analyses bayesiennes: l'analyse de puissance est necessaire pour la recherche confirmatoire/Vorsicht vor inferenzfehlern und geringer teststarke bei bayesschen analysen: eine analyse der teststarke wird bei bestatigungsforschung benotigt ..

Variable Daily Moon minimum Mean wind Mean Barometric illumination Fog temperature speed temperature pressure -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- X -- -- -- -- X X -- Variable Posterior probability (1) Month Month (2) SD = 100 SD = 31.6 SD = 10 X X 0.810 0.511 0.155 X X 0.100 0.197 0.184 X X 0.011 0.070 0.204 (1) Posterior probabilities based on different sets of priors; standard deviations are prior standard deviations placed on the intercept and model coefficients.

Twenty-five years of monitoring a Townsend's big-eared bat (Corynorhinus townsendii) maternity roost

The high posterior probabilities, >0.99, observed at all nodes that delineate Venezuelan strains further support these conclusions (Figure 1).

Enzootic transmission of yellow fever virus, Venezuela

Posterior means of annual average PM10 concentrations ([micro]g/[m.sup.3]) (A) and smoothed crude mortality rates (per 100,000 residents) (B); posterior medians of attributable deaths among residents (C) and posterior probabilities (%) of a non-null impact (D) under the RS0 scenario (for annual average PM10 > 20 [micro]g/[m.sup.3]), by municipality.

Commuting-adjusted short-term health impact assessment of airborne fine particles with uncertainty quantification via Monte Carlo simulation