actuarial risk assessment

actuarial risk assessment

A statistical method of estimating the risk of a particular event’s occurrence—e.g., the risk of a sexual offender committing a new sexual offence.

Actuarial methods are touted as more accurate than clinical judgement alone. One group that evaluated ARA instruments concluded they cannot be used to estimate an individual's risk for future violence with any reasonable degree of certainty and should be used with great caution or not at all.

Actuarial Risk Assessment

A term of art referring to an objective method of estimating a sexual offender's risk for committing a new sexual offence. In this regard, actuarial methods are regarded as more accurate than those based on clinical judgement alone.
References in periodicals archive ?
At least twelve states have integrated or are currently integrating some form of actuarial risk assessment into sentencing throughout the state pursuant to legislation, state sentencing commission policy, or state supreme court decision.
1) Although this research attempts to address several research questions, the overarching goal is to compare the nationally recommended AWA classification tiers to actuarial risk assessment instruments in their respective abilities to identify high-risk individuals and recidivists.
After the three authors provide an overview of how to use high-quality research to improve the practice of child protective services, other experts explore areas that identify young maltreated children with developmental delays, intimate partner violence in the child welfare system, actuarial risk assessment, the current status of practice and opportunities for improving parent training for families in child welfare.
And he added: "I also have very strong views about the actuarial risk assessment techniques which are used to analyse offenders.
Kleinsasser called the 1998 study a "breakthrough" that led to the development of first-generation actuarial risk assessment instruments.
In contrast, actuarial risk assessment (hereinafter "ARA")--which employs empirically derived "mechanical" rules for combining information to produce a quantitative estimate of risk--is novel in the legal arena and seems to be setting off a variety of alarm bells.
What PM Squared offers is a unique combination of data quality audits, actuarial risk assessment, reconciliation of financial data, and normative performance measures.
The controversy is related to the use of statistically based actuarial risk assessment (based on static, non-changeable factors such as number of offenses, age of first offense, gender of victim, etc.
PM Squared's clients sign up for a data subscription service that includes the unique combination of data quality audits, actuarial risk assessment, reconciliation of financial data, and an analytical index.
Grubin introduced the actuarial risk assessment tool, Risk Matrix 2000, that is used by the police in England and Wales to assess sex offenders being released from custody to aid them in making their monitoring decisions.
Evidence-based practices are rooted in actuarial risk assessments to triage cases and individualize supervision plans.
outline how to use actuarial risk assessments to predict recidivism in male domestic violence offenders.