Delphi method


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An iterative group judgement technique in which a central source forwards surveys or questionnaires to isolated, anonymous—to each other—participants whose responses are collated/summarised and recirculated to the participants in multiple rounds for further modification/critique, producing a final group response

Delphi method

(del'fi?) [After the oracle of Apollo at Delphi] See: method

Delphi method

The polling of experts in a field to reach consensus, make decisions, or disseminate knowledge. Individual specialists are organized in a virtual group, i.e., one that does not meet face-to-face in one place. They are each given a standard set of questions to answer or review. Their responses are tallied by the group's organizers, and then the preliminary data analysis is shared with all members of the group for further comments and revisions. A final report summarizing the opinions of the group is drafted. The Delphi method is one means of publishing criteria for standards of care or the state of the art of a particular discipline in health care.
See also: method
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Disaggregative Policy Delphi, developed by Petri Tapio, using cluster analysis as a tool methodology to build different scenarios for the future in the last round of the Delphi method.
Delphi method is used to determine the local expert's preferences regarding the most important assessment elements and criteria to be included in the GBRT.
Analytic hierarchy process (AHP)1112: After the indicators in different levels were confirmed by the Delphi method they were randomly listed on a form that was delivered to as many clinicians as possible including physicians surgeons and anesthesiologists.
The aim of the study was to obtain cash flow estimates to make a capital budgeting decision for a new product, an industrial chemical, with the use of the Delphi method in one company.
The Delphi method typically has four distinct phases (Linstone & Turoff, 2002), but it has the flexibility to have between three to five phases (Fletcher-Johnston et al.
The Delphi method is a group technique aimed to obtain the most reliable consensus of opinion of a group of experts (Dalkey, Helmer 1963).
Table 1--Highlights and Recommendations Provided by Participants from the Delphi Method First Session * External auditors will rely more on internal audit work in the future * Although use of automation will increase, judgment and decisionmaking cannot be automated * The view of many of the topics would vary depending upon the evolution of the financial statements * Audit will be cycled over the year, instead of only at year-end * There is a need for a more global perspective Second Session * Client technology is leading audit procedures * The use of technology depends upon proper safeguards for privacy (i.
This consensus process resulted in the identification of priority topics for research on bacterial STIs in Canada through the use of three rounds of a modified Delphi method with people working in the field of bacterial STIs across Canada.
Likelihood and impact of each usability risks are identified using the Delphi method.
RAND Corporation developed the Delphi method as a tool for assisting management in predicting the future; however, it is not restricted to this application (Ziglio and Adler, 1996).
Deshmukh, and Prem Vrat's analysis to match forecasting techniques with specific technologies found the Delphi method a particularly good fit for studies related to information technology.
As previously mentioned, the results of the Delphi method are presented through statistical formulation.